https://therumpus.ai/https://therumpus.ai/analysishttps://therumpus.ai/podcasthttps://therumpus.ai/marketshttps://therumpus.ai/abouthttps://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-08-netanyahu-s-odds-sink-after-herzog-taps-eisenkot-to-form2026-11-08https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-08-traders-push-an-end-to-iran-s-blockade-into-next-year2026-11-08https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-08-hegseth-impeachment-bet-climbs-but-has-already-slipped-from2026-11-08https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-07-netanyahu-s-odds-halve-as-herzog-prepares-to-name-his-pick2026-11-07https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-07-anthropic-ipo-odds-snap-back-to-79-for-november2026-11-07https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-07-anthropic-s-smallest-ipo-band-gives-back-its-spike2026-11-07https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-06-traders-trim-the-odds-of-a-december-fed-hike2026-11-06https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-06-hegseth-exit-odds-swing-42-points-in-four-days2026-11-06https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-05-traders-give-hegseth-even-odds-of-leaving-the-pentagon2026-11-05https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-05-netanyahu-s-path-narrows-after-israel-certifies-election2026-11-05https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-05-traders-now-put-bitcoin-above-78-000-tomorrow2026-11-05https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-04-traders-now-expect-republicans-to-lose-all-seven-mapped2026-11-04https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-04-traders-swing-back-to-petrol-above-4-02-after-a-one-day2026-11-04https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-03-traders-price-a-us-strike-on-iran-after-the-october-deadline2026-11-03https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-03-traders-make-democrats-heavy-favourites-to-win-the-house2026-11-03https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-03-democrats-sweep-odds-climb-to-76-before-election-day2026-11-03https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-02-netanyahu-reportedly-drops-coalition-talks-as-polymarket2026-11-02https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-02-abbott-holds-a-shrinking-lead-in-the-texas-governor-s-race2026-11-02https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-02-traders-keep-lifting-eizenkot-after-the-contract-s-listed2026-11-02https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-01-netanyahu-s-bloc-falls-short-and-the-price-still-holds-above2026-11-01https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-11-01-barringer-gains-fast-but-nc-13-still-favours-the-republican2026-11-01https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-31-traders-keep-iotova-favourite-in-bulgaria-after-her-odds2026-10-31https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-31-ramaswamy-withdrew-the-ad-traders-weigh-whether-that-settles2026-10-31https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-31-traders-lift-lisnard-into-second-place-behind-le-pen2026-10-31https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-31-hegseth-s-exit-odds-build-after-a-week-of-swings2026-10-31https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-30-traders-cut-nvidia-s-odds-of-a-year-end-crown-as-apple-rises2026-10-30https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-30-traders-cut-roger-marshall-s-kansas-senate-odds-to-near-even2026-10-30https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-30-traders-lift-eizenkot-again-after-his-election-night-fall2026-10-30https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-29-netanyahu-holds-near-even-odds-as-israel-s-election-leaves2026-10-29https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-29-traders-lift-odds-that-washington-ends-its-iran-blockade-by2026-10-29https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-29-traders-trim-odds-of-us-gas-averaging-above-4-182026-10-29https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-29-polymarket-lifts-eizenkot-to-31-well-above-kalshi-s-192026-10-29https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-28-netanyahu-s-odds-jump-despite-exit-polls-favouring-the2026-10-28https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-28-traders-swing-back-to-netanyahu-for-israel-s-first-mandate2026-10-28https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-28-traders-back-away-from-an-october-ether-dip-to-2-2002026-10-28https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-28-raman-edges-ahead-of-bass-in-los-angeles-mayoral-books2026-10-28https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-27-bennett-s-odds-fall-to-6-on-israel-s-scheduled-election-day2026-10-27https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-27-traders-cut-the-odds-of-a-french-state-of-emergency2026-10-27https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-27-traders-cut-bennett-s-odds-as-eizenkot-leads-race-for-israel2026-10-27https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-26-traders-cut-iotova-s-odds-of-winning-bulgaria-s-presidency2026-10-26https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-26-oil-traders-retreat-from-a-110-october2026-10-26https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-26-chow-enters-toronto-s-mayoral-vote-as-the-traders-clear2026-10-26https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-26-traders-cut-bitcoin-s-chance-of-an-80-000-finish-on-30-oct2026-10-26https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-25-serbia-s-student-list-regains-ground-on-election-day-but2026-10-25https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-25-traders-trim-republican-odds-in-tx-09-but-still-favour2026-10-25https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-24-traders-lift-vucic-s-list-ahead-of-serbia-s-vote-tomorrow2026-10-24https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-23-traders-bid-up-a-nato-russia-clash-bet-with-9-days-to-run2026-10-23https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-23-vucic-holds-the-edge-two-days-before-serbia-votes2026-10-23https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-23-traders-now-expect-a-russia-ukraine-meeting-this-month2026-10-23https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-22-traders-still-bet-the-iran-ceasefire-outlives-its-deadline2026-10-22https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-22-a-bank-of-canada-rate-hike-goes-from-fringe-to-favourite2026-10-22https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-22-the-bank-of-russia-no-change-bet-loses-its-grip2026-10-22https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-22-traders-bid-up-a-nato-russia-clash-bet-with-ten-days-to-run2026-10-22https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-21-bass-edges-ahead-in-the-los-angeles-mayor-s-race2026-10-21https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-21-traders-cool-on-a-new-press-secretary-before-year-s-end2026-10-21https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-21-the-bet-on-4-20-gas-loses-more-than-half-its-value2026-10-21https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-20-traders-now-expect-a-bank-of-canada-rate-rise-this-month2026-10-20https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-20-traders-pull-back-from-the-perim-island-bet2026-10-20https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-20-puma-shen-closes-in-on-chiang-wan-an-in-taipei2026-10-20https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-19-traders-doubt-the-iranian-blockade-lifts-this-year2026-10-19https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-19-flavio-bolsonaro-is-favoured-but-not-by-a-wide-margin2026-10-19https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-19-traders-back-an-exact-38-9-reading-for-trump-s-approval2026-10-19https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-18-flavio-bolsonaro-recovers-from-a-midweek-dip-in-brazil-s2026-10-18https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-18-pete-fry-is-now-the-strong-favourite-in-vancouver2026-10-18https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-18-traders-back-vucic-s-list-to-win-the-most-serbian-seats2026-10-18https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-17-peace-talks-slip-away-despite-a-papal-plea2026-10-17https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-17-bet-on-dear-oil-and-a-democratic-senate-climbs-to-favourite2026-10-17https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-17-traders-expect-100-wti-as-oil-stocks-sink-to-lowest-since2026-10-17https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-17-traders-swing-from-likud-to-yashar-in-israel-s-seat-race2026-10-17https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-16-lula-gains-on-a-senate-win-but-still-trails-badly2026-10-16https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-16-traders-revive-the-bet-that-zacharia-leaves-by-year-end2026-10-16https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-16-netanyahu-recovers-but-remains-an-underdog2026-10-16https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-15-netanyahu-s-campaign-fails-to-lift-his-re-election-odds2026-10-15https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-15-traders-tilt-towards-a-narrow-flavio-bolsonaro-win2026-10-15https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-15-bets-on-cxmt-leaving-the-pentagon-list-climb-then-pull-back2026-10-15https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-14-traders-regain-faith-that-america-stays-out-of-yemen2026-10-14https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-14-traders-cool-on-a-us-end-to-iran-s-blockade-this-year2026-10-14https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-14-trump-s-displeasure-sends-guilfoyle-odds-to-near-certainty2026-10-14https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-14-flavio-bolsonaro-s-winning-margin-narrows2026-10-14https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-13-traders-swing-hard-on-vucic-as-serbia-s-next-prime-minister2026-10-13https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-13-traders-swing-back-towards-a-narrow-flavio-bolsonaro-win-in2026-10-13https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-13-traders-bet-gemini-4-0-reaches-the-public-today2026-10-13https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-13-russian-diesel-imports-look-far-less-certain-than-the2026-10-13https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-12-traders-bet-washington-holds-fire-on-yemen-after-riyadh2026-10-12https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-12-shen-bo-yang-closes-on-chiang-wan-an-in-taipei2026-10-12https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-12-trump-al-sharaa-contact-emerges-as-a-real-possibility2026-10-12https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-12-brazil-traders-bet-on-a-wider-bolsonaro-margin2026-10-12https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-11-traders-make-flavio-bolsonaro-a-heavy-favourite-for-brazil-s2026-10-11https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-11-traders-hand-amapa-to-flavio-bolsonaro-on-national-first2026-10-11https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-11-traders-back-niculescu-as-romania-s-parties-still-refuse-to2026-10-11https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-11-traders-lift-republican-odds-in-the-texas-senate-race2026-10-11https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-10-third-place-finisher-backs-flavio-bolsonaro-as-lula-s-odds2026-10-10https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-10-traders-double-the-odds-of-south-dakota-corn-topping-1552026-10-10https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-10-traders-price-a-houthi-loss-of-perim-island-by-december2026-10-10https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-09-lula-s-re-election-odds-tumble-as-bolsonaro-s-son-leads2026-10-09https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-09-kalshi-traders-lift-navalnaya-to-the-top-of-the-nobel-field2026-10-09https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-09-traders-back-the-us-iran-truce-through-october-despite-new2026-10-09https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-09-traders-still-put-feijoo-ahead-for-spain-s-top-job2026-10-09https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-08-flavio-bolsonaro-s-first-round-lead-lifts-his-runoff-odds2026-10-08https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-08-traders-trust-the-us-iran-truce-for-october-doubt-it-after2026-10-08https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-08-traders-still-put-feijoo-ahead-for-spain-s-top-job2026-10-08https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-08-traders-doubt-google-ships-a-gemini-pro-model-before2026-10-08https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-07-flavio-bolsonaro-s-first-round-win-lifts-his-runoff-odds2026-10-07https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-07-alito-retirement-odds-jump-ten-points-in-a-day2026-10-07https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-07-traders-see-the-iranian-blockade-lasting-past-october2026-10-07https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-06-traders-abandon-lula-as-bolsonaro-runoff-looms2026-10-06https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-06-sanchez-calls-spain-s-snap-election-after-housing-defeat2026-10-06https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-06-traders-still-back-an-october-fed-hold-with-a-hike-in2026-10-06https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-06-gemini-4-release-bets-climb-as-argon-model-reports-spread2026-10-06https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-05-traders-swing-behind-a-spanish-snap-election-within-weeks2026-10-05https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-05-fed-hold-for-october-holds-firm-above-four-in-five2026-10-05https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-05-traders-send-iran-arab-strike-contract-to-100-after-its2026-10-05https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-05-puma-shen-gains-ground-in-taipei-mayor-market2026-10-05https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-04-lula-s-second-place-odds-climb-before-brazil-s-first-round2026-10-04https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-04-traders-see-little-chance-the-iranian-blockade-ends-soon2026-10-04https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-04-traders-still-favour-lula-to-top-the-first-round-by-less2026-10-04https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-04-polymarket-traders-lift-lisnard-s-2027-odds-above-kalshi-s2026-10-04https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-03-traders-swing-to-an-october-fed-hold-after-soft-jobs-data2026-10-03https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-03-traders-lift-anthropic-s-2027-bankruptcy-odds-seven-points2026-10-03https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-03-spain-s-housing-defeat-sends-snap-election-odds-soaring2026-10-03https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-02-traders-pile-into-a-fed-hold-as-yields-hit-a-24-year-high2026-10-02https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-02-renan-santos-is-the-market-s-pick-for-third-in-brazil2026-10-02https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-02-bitcoin-holds-above-84-000-dollars2026-10-02https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-02-le-pen-climbs-to-45-on-the-2027-french-presidency2026-10-02https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-01-traders-now-see-the-fed-holding-in-october2026-10-01https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-01-ohio-data-centre-moratorium-looks-less-probable2026-10-01https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-01-traders-put-a-pakistani-strike-on-afghanistan-at-952026-10-01https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-10-01-bolsonaro-s-first-round-odds-rise-despite-scandal2026-10-01https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-30-traders-now-expect-the-fed-to-hold-rates-in-october2026-09-30https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-30-traders-cut-the-odds-of-milei-meeting-trump-before-september2026-09-30https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-30-saudi-pipeline-restart-contract-collapses-as-oil-flows2026-09-30https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-29-iran-talks-stumble-as-trump-spurns-ceasefire-offer2026-09-29https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-29-traders-price-a-trump-meeting-as-milei-heads-for-paris2026-09-29https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-29-traders-now-back-brazilian-inflation-under-4-for-december2026-09-29https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-28-traders-lift-odds-that-the-us-iran-truce-holds-through2026-09-28https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-28-iran-keeps-the-door-open-to-talks-after-trump-s-rebuff2026-09-28https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-28-traders-pull-hormuz-traffic-odds-back-to-even2026-09-28https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-28-maine-s-republican-senate-contract-leaps-but-its-democratic2026-09-28https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-27-traders-trim-ceasefire-odds-after-trump-spurns-iran-s-hormuz2026-09-27https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-27-traders-now-favour-nithya-raman-to-be-mayor-of-los-angeles2026-09-27https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-27-gyurov-s-presidential-odds-tumble-as-traders-swing-to-iotova2026-09-27https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-26-hormuz-traffic-still-seen-below-normal-into-the-new-year2026-09-26https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-26-inflation-above-0-4-for-september-is-still-the-market-s-base2026-09-26https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-26-wti-to-settle-above-92-99-on-monday2026-09-26https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-26-traders-now-lean-against-an-s-p-500-close-above-7-745-on2026-09-26https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-25-traders-doubt-trump-will-order-an-invasion-of-iran2026-09-25https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-25-iran-s-offer-to-reopen-hormuz-meets-a-sceptical-market2026-09-25https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-25-bitcoin-traders-cool-on-a-september-run-to-87-5002026-09-25https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-24-lula-claws-back-ground-from-his-low-in-brazil-s-race2026-09-24https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-24-traders-cut-odds-of-an-official-saudi-pipeline-restart2026-09-24https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-24-a-70-point-collapse-in-the-third-quarter-gdp-contract2026-09-24https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-24-traders-still-expect-november-consumer-prices-to-hold-or2026-09-24https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-23-bets-on-normal-hormuz-traffic-by-december-climb-before-gulf2026-09-23https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-23-peltola-s-alaska-lead-keeps-the-senate-race-contract2026-09-23https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-23-talks-begin-but-traders-push-the-blockade-s-end-past2026-09-23https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-22-nithya-raman-s-path-to-los-angeles-city-hall-is-narrowing2026-09-22https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-22-no-invasion-but-iran-s-grip-tightens-on-iraq2026-09-22https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-22-the-blockade-that-refuses-to-end2026-09-22https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-22-iran-blockade-likely-to-outlast-october2026-09-22https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-21-trump-s-greenland-gambit-looks-like-a-done-deal2026-09-21https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-20-trump-s-greenland-gambit-looks-like-a-done-deal2026-09-20https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-19-trump-s-greenland-gambit-looks-like-a-done-deal2026-09-19https://therumpus.ai/d/2026-09-18-the-great-unblocking-will-iran-s-lifeline-reopen2026-09-18https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-11-082026-11-08https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-11-072026-11-07https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-11-062026-11-06https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-11-052026-11-05https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-11-042026-11-04https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-11-032026-11-03https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-11-022026-11-02https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-11-012026-11-01https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-312026-10-31https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-302026-10-30https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-292026-10-29https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-282026-10-28https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-272026-10-27https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-262026-10-26https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-252026-10-25https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-242026-10-24https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-232026-10-23https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-222026-10-22https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-212026-10-21https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-202026-10-20https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-192026-10-19https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-182026-10-18https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-172026-10-17https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-162026-10-16https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-152026-10-15https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-142026-10-14https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-132026-10-13https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-122026-10-12https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-112026-10-11https://therumpus.ai/episode/2026-10-102026-10-10